Bulgaria vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
ARG
0 - 2
BGR
65%
21%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1994 |
NGA
3 - 0
BGR
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 1
UKR
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1994 |
GER
3 - 2
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1994 |
GER
3 - 2
KOR
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1994 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
46%
26%
29%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1994 |
GER
1 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 2
GER
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |