Bulgaria vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
BGR
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
SCG
1 - 2
BGR
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
BGR
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 1
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 0
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ALB
0 - 0
IRL
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 1
RUS
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ALB
5 - 0
VIE
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
RUS
4 - 1
ALB
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ALB
1 - 1
SUI
20%
25%
56%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |