Bulgaria vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ALB
1 - 1
BGR
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 2
GER
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
MDA
0 - 3
BGR
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
MKD
0 - 0
BGR
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 1
WAL
59%
24%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ALB
1 - 1
BGR
14%
22%
64%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
MLT
2 - 1
ALB
47%
25%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
MDA
2 - 3
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ALB
3 - 0
MDA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |