Bulgaria vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1980 |
ARG
2 - 0
BGR
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
BGR
2 - 3
SWE
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1980 |
NOR
1 - 0
BGR
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
ALB
2 - 0
FIN
63%
19%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ALB
3 - 0
ALG
50%
23%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 1
CHN
33%
23%
44%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 4
DDR
25%
27%
49%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 0
FIN
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |