Bulgaria vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BGR
2 - 2
CSK
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
BGR
7 - 0
THA
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
TUR
0 - 2
BGR
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
DDR
3 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
ITA
2 - 0
BGR
79%
13%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
GTM
4 - 1
THA
83%
11%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
GTM
1 - 0
CSK
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1968 |
SLV
1 - 0
GTM
58%
19%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1968 |
SLV
3 - 0
GTM
55%
19%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
SLV
1 - 3
GTM
58%
19%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |