Brazil vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
18.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.4%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
7.1%
1.3%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 2
BRA
8%
17%
75%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
6 - 0
AUS
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SUI
1 - 0
BRA
12%
19%
69%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
ESP
34%
23%
43%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SEN
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |