Brazil vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 0
CSK
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 1
AUT
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
CHI
1 - 5
BRA
24%
25%
52%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
ITA
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1971 |
DDR
1 - 2
YUG
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1971 |
YUG
0 - 1
ROU
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
YUG
2 - 0
NED
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
YUG
2 - 0
BRD
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
SUN
4 - 0
YUG
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |