Brazil vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 1
BRA
11%
18%
71%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHI
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAN
90%
8%
2%
|
99 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
VEN
3 - 1
PAR
22%
25%
54%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
VEN
3 - 0
PER
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 2
VEN
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
VEN
2 - 0
URU
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
ECU
4 - 0
VEN
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |