Brazil vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
96%
Win probability
4.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.7%
7-0
4.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
5.4%
6-0
8.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
9.5%
5-0
12.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
14.5%
4-0
15.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
3.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
3.1%
0.6%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
20%
26%
54%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
0 - 4
BRA
4%
17%
80%
|
95 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
1 - 0
JPN
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
VEN
1 - 3
CHI
8%
24%
68%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
0 - 4
BRA
4%
17%
80%
|
61 | 95 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEN
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1989 |
PER
1 - 1
VEN
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
2 - 4
COL
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |