Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
BRA
4 - 2
CRC
80%
15%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FRA
0 - 2
BRA
40%
28%
32%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
BRA
16%
26%
58%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 5
BRA
33%
29%
38%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
40%
28%
32%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
URU
2 - 1
CRC
64%
23%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1992 |
URU
3 - 1
ECU
72%
20%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1992 |
URU
2 - 0
AUS
64%
24%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1992 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
27%
29%
44%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |