Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
86%
11%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 2
BRA
40%
28%
33%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1984 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
31%
31%
39%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
77%
17%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |