Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.3%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
18%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
84%
13%
4%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 2
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
82%
11%
7%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1980 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1980 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 1
URU
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
YUG
2 - 1
URU
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 0
URU
62%
23%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |