Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.1%
6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRA
19%
25%
56%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1976 |
ARG
1 - 2
BRA
36%
26%
37%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
23%
26%
52%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
PER
0 - 2
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1975 |
BRA
1 - 3
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1976 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
COL
3 - 0
URU
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |