Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 2
PER
82%
11%
7%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 2
ROU
84%
10%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
1 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
CSK
77%
14%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
1 - 0
AUT
81%
13%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
URU
1 - 0
SUN
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 0
URU
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
URU
0 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
ISR
73%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
PER
4 - 2
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |