Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 3
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
SWE
1 - 2
BRA
49%
22%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1965 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1965 |
ALG
0 - 3
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARG
65%
18%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
URU
2 - 1
PER
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
44%
23%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VEN
1 - 3
URU
36%
23%
41%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
URU
5 - 0
VEN
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |