Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
11.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
22%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1956 |
CHI
4 - 1
BRA
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1956 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1956 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
56%
19%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |