Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
15%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAN
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
78%
13%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
39%
22%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
6 - 1
ESP
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
21%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
URU
6 - 1
PAN
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
PER
2 - 5
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
MEX
1 - 3
URU
58%
19%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
39%
22%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |