Brazil vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1935 |
CRC
6 - 0
BRA
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1935 |
MEX
8 - 2
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
URU
0 - 3
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1937 |
URU
4 - 2
PER
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
38%
23%
40%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1936 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |