Brazil vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
82%
11%
7%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
46%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1979 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
50%
23%
27%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOL
84%
10%
6%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1980 |
SUN
1 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1980 |
DDR
2 - 2
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
SUN
1 - 3
BRD
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 2
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
ROU
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |