Brazil vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
POL
2 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
4 - 1
ISR
80%
12%
8%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
82%
12%
7%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
0 - 0
DDR
72%
16%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ARG
0 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
1 - 2
DDR
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 1
IRN
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |