Brazil vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1965 |
BRA
3 - 0
URU
78%
13%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 3
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
SWE
1 - 2
BRA
49%
22%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1965 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1965 |
ALG
0 - 3
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
WAL
2 - 1
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
DEN
1 - 3
SUN
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
GRC
1 - 4
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 0
YUG
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 3
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |