Brazil vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUT
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
BRA
3 - 1
BGR
84%
10%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1958 |
BRA
4 - 0
BGR
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
SUN
2 - 0
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
SUN
2 - 2
ENG
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
SUN
1 - 1
ENG
23%
21%
57%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 0
POL
48%
20%
32%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
71%
15%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |