Brazil vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 2
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUT
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 3
SWE
63%
19%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
92%
5%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
0 - 0
WAL
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
3 - 0
MEX
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |