Brazil vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 1
BRA
73%
15%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1938 |
BRA
2 - 1
CSK
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
BRA
1 - 1
CSK
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
BRA
6 - 5
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1937 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
5 - 1
SWE
65%
16%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
88%
7%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
SWE
8 - 0
CUB
86%
9%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1938 |
SWE
3 - 3
LVA
84%
9%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
GER
5 - 0
SWE
65%
17%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |