Brazil vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1974 |
COD
0 - 3
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
SCO
0 - 0
BRA
35%
26%
39%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1974 |
BRA
0 - 0
YUG
68%
17%
15%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 1
IRL
83%
13%
4%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
BRD
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
CHI
1 - 1
DDR
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
2 - 0
AUS
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 1
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |