Brazil vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1986 |
NIR
0 - 3
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 0
ALG
88%
9%
4%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
ESP
0 - 1
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 2
YUG
70%
19%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
POL
74%
16%
11%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
POR
67%
19%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
POL
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
DEN
1 - 0
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |