Brazil vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
3 - 1
PER
84%
10%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 1
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 1
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
HUN
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
87%
8%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1965 |
ITA
6 - 1
POL
82%
12%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |