Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
HND
88%
10%
3%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHL
77%
15%
7%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 3
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
76%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
MEX
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
VEN
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
PRY
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
PRY
2 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
GTM
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |