Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.1%
2.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
ECU
1 - 0
BRA
10%
18%
72%
|
100 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
MEX
3 - 3
BRA
16%
21%
64%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
USA
1 - 2
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 0
COL
86%
10%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 6
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
99 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
HND
0 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2000 |
PER
5 - 2
KAZ
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
PAR
5 - 1
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PER
1 - 1
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |