Copa America Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
46%
24%
31%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
80%
12%
8%
|
92 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1975 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1975 |
VEN
0 - 4
BRA
31%
26%
44%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1974 |
BRA
0 - 1
POL
72%
16%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
PER
3 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1975 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1975 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |