Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 2
ROU
84%
10%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
1 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
CSK
77%
14%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
1 - 0
AUT
81%
13%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 0
BGR
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
3 - 1
PER
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
PER
3 - 0
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
PER
3 - 2
BGR
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1970 |
PER
3 - 0
SLV
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
PER
4 - 2
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |