Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 2
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 3
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
2 - 2
GER
66%
18%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
BRA
2 - 1
FIF
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 10 | 80 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
PER
3 - 3
MEX
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1968 |
PER
2 - 2
ARG
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1968 |
PER
0 - 0
CHI
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |