Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 1
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
URU
2 - 1
PER
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
44%
23%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
VEN
3 - 6
PER
46%
21%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1965 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |