Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
BRA
3 - 1
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 1
BRA
26%
24%
51%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
URU
2 - 1
PER
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
44%
23%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
VEN
3 - 6
PER
46%
21%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1965 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1965 |
CHI
4 - 1
PER
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |