Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 2
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 2
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
41%
22%
37%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1957 |
PER
1 - 4
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ARG
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
87%
9%
5%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |