Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1957 |
URU
3 - 2
BRA
52%
21%
27%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
9 - 0
COL
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
7 - 1
ECU
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
87%
8%
4%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1956 |
BRA
4 - 1
CSK
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1957 |
PER
4 - 1
COL
85%
10%
6%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
URU
5 - 3
PER
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
PER
2 - 4
CRC
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |