Brazil vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
64%
18%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ARG
5 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
47%
22%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
43%
22%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |