Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 2
ECU
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
90%
8%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
ROU
76%
16%
8%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
NED
52%
23%
24%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
ECU
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
32%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROU
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |