Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 3
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
1 - 1
ENG
60%
23%
17%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1993 |
GER
3 - 3
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
USA
0 - 2
BRA
14%
26%
60%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
64%
23%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
3 - 1
PAR
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1993 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
29%
30%
42%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |