Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
3 - 1
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 62 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1989 |
SUI
1 - 0
BRA
15%
26%
59%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
DEN
4 - 0
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEN
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1989 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
5 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 2
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |