Copa America Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRA
21%
28%
51%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARG
69%
18%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
36%
28%
36%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
19%
27%
54%
|
96 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRA
21%
28%
51%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1983 |
PAR
4 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
PER
0 - 2
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1983 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |