Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 1
IRL
83%
13%
4%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
BRA
0 - 0
AUT
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRC
84%
12%
4%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
4 - 0
HTI
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 0
ROU
80%
15%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
4 - 0
BOL
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |