Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1971 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1971 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
0 - 0
HUN
60%
21%
19%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
2 - 2
YUG
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
PAR
2 - 0
PER
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1971 |
PER
0 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |