Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
0 - 0
HUN
60%
21%
19%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
2 - 2
YUG
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 0
CSK
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 1
AUT
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
CHI
1 - 5
BRA
24%
25%
52%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1971 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1971 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1970 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |