Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
5 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARG
75%
15%
9%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1970 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1970 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
30%
21%
48%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |