Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 2
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 5
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
30%
21%
48%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 2
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PAR
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |