Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1961 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
88%
9%
4%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
21%
21%
58%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
CHI
1 - 2
BRA
21%
20%
59%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 3
BRA
18%
20%
62%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MEX
57%
20%
24%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
ARG
5 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1961 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
88%
9%
4%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |