Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 0
ENG
56%
20%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1959 |
URU
1 - 3
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
PER
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |