Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
77%
13%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
4 - 2
BOL
88%
8%
5%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 2
PER
85%
10%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 2
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
5 - 0
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
71%
16%
14%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
PAR
3 - 3
YUG
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |