Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1956 |
CHI
4 - 1
BRA
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
PER
1 - 1
PAR
73%
14%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
CHI
5 - 0
PAR
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |